Académica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ACA
4 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
ACA
1 - 4
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
35%
30%
36%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
FAR
4 - 3
LEX
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 2
FAR
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 0
UFT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |