Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SCP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
LIV
4 - 1
SLB
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 1
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |