Puerto Cabello vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
7º
6º
6
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
APC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
APC
2 - 3
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
APC
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
APC
2 - 2
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
APC
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
ANG
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ANG
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
APC
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |