Sangiovannese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACS
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 2
ACS
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 0
SAS
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 0
ACS
45%
28%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 0
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 2
ASL
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |