Reggiana vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 3
REG
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
PIS
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
JUS
1 - 3
REG
25%
25%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
31%
26%
42%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MON
0 - 0
PIS
17%
26%
57%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
USC
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |