Serie B round 38

Reggiana vs Catanzaro analysis

Reggiana Catanzaro
58 ELO 59
-10.8% Tilt -4.2%
1029º General ELO ranking 534º
40º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
52.7%
Reggiana
23.9%
Draw
23.4%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
Reggiana
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Reggiana
-4%
-5%
Catanzaro

ELO progression

Reggiana
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Reggiana
Reggiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1962
GEN
Genoa
3 - 1
Reggiana
REG
69%
19%
13%
59 70 11 0
20 May. 1962
REG
Reggiana
0 - 1
AC Monza
ASS
60%
23%
17%
59 60 1 0
13 May. 1962
USA
FC Alessandria
2 - 1
Reggiana
REG
54%
25%
21%
60 62 2 -1
06 May. 1962
REG
Reggiana
0 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
51%
26%
23%
60 70 10 0
29 Apr. 1962
NOV
Novara
0 - 0
Reggiana
REG
52%
25%
24%
60 59 1 0

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1962
ASS
AC Monza
1 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
54%
24%
22%
59 60 1 0
20 May. 1962
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
45%
28%
27%
57 70 13 +2
13 May. 1962
MOD
Modena
3 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
47%
27%
26%
58 57 1 -1
06 May. 1962
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
63%
22%
16%
58 69 11 0
30 Apr. 1962
MAN
Mantova
3 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
70%
16%
14%
59 74 15 -1