Reggiana vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
REG
2 - 2
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
REG
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
MAN
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
USF
0 - 0
REG
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 2
LEC
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 2
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
LEC
3 - 1
MOD
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |