Reggiana vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 1
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
REG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 1
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
REG
2 - 0
TAR
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 0
TAR
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |