Reggiana U19 vs Südtirol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
15º
14º
31
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 70 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 69 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 49 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 47 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 32 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
53.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 24 |
16º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 2
CIT
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
REG
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
CRE
8%
19%
74%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
REG
0 - 2
VIC
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUD
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CRE
1 - 0
SUD
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 1
SPA
27%
22%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
SUD
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |