Pavia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAV
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
MES
1 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
FAN
0 - 0
SAL
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ATP
5 - 3
SAL
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAL
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |