AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASS
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
INT
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
COM
0 - 1
ASS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FCC
3 - 0
NOV
42%
32%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
57%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 1
NOV
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |