AC Monza vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ASS
3 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
POT
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
PAL
2 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 0
VNZ
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
USA
1 - 0
NAP
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
BAR
2 - 1
NAP
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
NAP
0 - 0
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 1
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |