AC Monza vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 0
ACD
17%
23%
59%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BV5
0 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
ASS
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
RIM
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 5
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
REA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |