AC Monza vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
12.2%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.3%
33.4%
Draw
0-0
18.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
37%
35%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
ASS
0 - 0
FCC
39%
34%
27%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
NOV
5 - 3
ASS
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
41%
34%
25%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
REG
0 - 2
INT
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
REG
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1973 |
JUV
1 - 1
REG
88%
10%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
REG
1 - 3
PRG
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
USF
3 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |