AC Monza vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
REG
2 - 0
ASS
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 1
USF
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
MAN
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
PIS
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ARZ
0 - 0
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |