Mantova vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAN
57%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
CUN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ASS
36%
26%
37%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 2
MAN
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIR
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SPA
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REA
1 - 1
SPA
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 1
SPA
37%
28%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |