Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAN
40%
32%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
TER
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
MAN
5 - 0
COM
52%
29%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
MAN
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 1
VAR
31%
31%
39%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
2 - 1
LIV
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |