Mantova vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
19%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CES
3 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
2 - 0
MAN
52%
29%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
BRE
31%
31%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
CAT
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 2
BAR
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |