Lumezzane vs Vittoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 0
ACL
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 4
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 3
USC
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ACL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vittoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
PRO
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 3
GRO
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 1
USC
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |