Lumezzane vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
ACL
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 2
PAV
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
REG
32%
28%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
TER
28%
29%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |