AC Este vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 2
ACE
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ACE
2 - 1
CHI
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
ACE
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 0
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 1
ACE
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEL
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 1
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIG
1 - 0
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |