AC Este vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 0
ACE
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACE
58%
24%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 4
CTT
4%
14%
82%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 2
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UAR
1 - 0
ACE
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEL
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 1
SAN
26%
24%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
URF
0 - 4
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACE
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |