Cesena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
CES
42%
30%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
PAD
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
34%
31%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
CES
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
3 - 2
ASL
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 3
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |