Cesena vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
CES
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
15%
25%
60%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
2 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 3
INT
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
UDI
29%
27%
43%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 1
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |