Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
CES
3 - 0
PAL
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CES
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
12%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
PIS
1 - 1
CES
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
76%
18%
6%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
BAR
2 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
ASS
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
VIC
0 - 0
SPA
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |