Cesena vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
RIM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
PIA
2 - 1
RIM
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
RIM
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
RIM
4 - 2
SPE
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 1
RIM
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |