Cesena vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
27.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
4 - 2
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 1
CES
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
49%
28%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAG
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 1
PIS
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
PIS
2 - 1
PES
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
PIS
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
UDI
2 - 0
PIS
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |