Cesena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CES
0 - 3
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
SAM
2 - 0
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
MES
2 - 1
TOR
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
43%
31%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |