Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
REG
3 - 1
CES
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
CES
1 - 1
USC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PES
0 - 0
CES
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASL
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
VER
5 - 1
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |