Cesena vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
CES
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
CES
3 - 3
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
TER
1 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 3
TOR
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 5
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |