Cesena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 1
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CES
0 - 1
SAS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 0
CES
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
ANC
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 1
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 1
ANC
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |