Cesena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
FCC
2 - 2
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
VIC
4 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 2
MOD
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 1
ARZ
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PES
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CRO
2 - 0
ARZ
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |