AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
10º
8º
22
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 35 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 33 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 27 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 26 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 23 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 22 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 20 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 19 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 14 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
THU
19%
24%
58%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
STA
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THU
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 3
ETO
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GCZ
6 - 0
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 2
STA
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |