AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCB
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
BEL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KRI
0 - 1
BEL
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
STG
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEL
0 - 1
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |