SS Arezzo vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FCC
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
ARZ
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SSS
51%
29%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CAM
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
PIS
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CES
1 - 1
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
TRI
2 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |