OFC Champions Qualifying Final
Global 5-0
ABM Galaxy vs Rue Rue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABM Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RUE
0 - 0
ABM
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HEK
2 - 1
ABM
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
ABM
2 - 2
EAS
2%
4%
94%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ABM
4 - 1
HIE
5%
10%
84%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | +12 |
Matches
Rue Rue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RUE
0 - 0
ABM
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |