Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerphilly Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
2 - 2
PON
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
4 - 2
ABB
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ABB
0 - 3
BRI
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABB
0 - 2
CAM
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 2
ABB
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caerphilly Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 4
PEN
8%
13%
79%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 1
CAR
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |