Aberdeen vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
4º
6º
5º
46
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
92 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
99 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 0
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 0
ABE
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
GLA
28%
25%
48%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
ABE
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
STM
2 - 2
HOM
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 1
STM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STM
0 - 2
KIL
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GLA
5 - 2
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |