ABC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
ABC
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
9%
17%
74%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
3 - 0
ARN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 1
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
ABC
8%
15%
77%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASS
58%
25%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
GLO
30%
27%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |