Aarhus Fremad vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAF
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AAF
2 - 1
HVI
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AAF
1 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
KOL
2 - 0
AAF
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FRE
1 - 0
FRE
79%
13%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
FAR
2 - 1
FRE
46%
24%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FRE
2 - 2
BRØ
82%
12%
7%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
RAN
1 - 1
FRE
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FRE
7 - 2
B19
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | +1 |