Aarau II vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAJ
2 - 4
AAR
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 2
WOH
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
AAR
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 0
BST
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 2
AAR
21%
19%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 4
SCH
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HON
3 - 1
SUB
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SUB
0 - 4
OLT
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 1
SUB
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAJ
0 - 0
SUB
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |