Aalborg BK vs Kolding IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
33
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AAB
3 - 0
HIL
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
HOB
1 - 2
AAB
16%
23%
62%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
AAB
1 - 1
NAE
66%
22%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
EGE
0 - 8
AAB
3%
8%
90%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 1
AAB
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kolding IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
4 - 0
FCH
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
SON
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAE
1 - 2
KOL
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 19
KOL
6%
12%
81%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |