Portuguesa vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
BAT
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
ITU
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |