Tocantinense Final
Global 4-2
União Carmolandense vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Carmolandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 2
UAC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UAC
1 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
UAC
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 4
UAC
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UAC
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 2
UAC
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
CAP
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 3
TOC
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
3 - 0
TMI
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
TOC
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |