Challenge Cup 1/16

Hibernian II vs The New Saints analysis

Hibernian II The New Saints
17 ELO 67
-2.7% Tilt 0.1%
12684º General ELO ranking 1486º
103º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
3.6%
Hibernian II
8.5%
Draw
87.9%
The New Saints

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
Hibernian II
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
87.8%
Win probability
The New Saints
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
14.7%
0-5
6.6%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
3.6%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%

ELO progression

Hibernian II
The New Saints
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian II
Hibernian II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2023
BRE
Brechin City
0 - 4
Hibernian II
HIB
86%
10%
5%
15 53 38 0
02 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian II
1 - 1
Formartine United
FOR
9%
14%
77%
12 44 32 +3
10 Aug. 2022
HIB
Hibernian II
1 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
4%
10%
87%
7 50 43 +5
10 Aug. 2021
HIB
Hibernian II
1 - 2
Elgin City
ELG
4%
9%
87%
8 51 43 -1

Matches

The New Saints
The New Saints
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2023
TNS
The New Saints
6 - 0
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
81%
13%
7%
67 54 13 0
29 Aug. 2023
COL
Colwyn Bay
0 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
15%
22%
63%
67 51 16 0
26 Aug. 2023
TNS
The New Saints
2 - 2
Barry Town
BAR
84%
11%
5%
67 53 14 0
19 Aug. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
19%
23%
58%
67 55 12 0
11 Aug. 2023
TNS
The New Saints
6 - 2
Connah's Quay
CON
66%
20%
15%
67 63 4 0