4 de Julho vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
4DE
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
4DE
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
4DE
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 2
PIC
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
PIA
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 3
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIA
68%
21%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |