3 de Febrero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RÑU
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
IND
60%
25%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
59%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOL
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |