3 de Febrero vs Deportivo Caaguazú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CDL
0 - 3
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SET
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
OVE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
SAN
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Caaguazú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 2
CDL
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SET
3 - 4
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |