Oberliga Bayern round 38

Rosenheim vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis

Rosenheim Erlangen-Bruck
33 ELO 34
-3% Tilt -0.1%
7384º General ELO ranking 24902º
416º Country ELO ranking 744º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Rosenheim
25%
Draw
34.6%
Erlangen-Bruck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
Rosenheim
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.6%
Win probability
Erlangen-Bruck
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rosenheim
-15%
-12%
Erlangen-Bruck

ELO progression

Rosenheim
Erlangen-Bruck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rosenheim
Rosenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2010
BAD
Bad Kötzting
0 - 2
Rosenheim
ROS
38%
24%
38%
30 24 6 0
16 May. 2010
ROS
Rosenheim
4 - 1
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
41%
25%
34%
28 30 2 +2
13 May. 2010
ISM
Ismaning
3 - 2
Rosenheim
ROS
63%
20%
17%
29 35 6 -1
08 May. 2010
ROS
Rosenheim
0 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
34%
26%
40%
29 36 7 0
01 May. 2010
UNT
Unterhaching II
3 - 0
Rosenheim
ROS
58%
22%
20%
30 35 5 -1

Matches

Erlangen-Bruck
Erlangen-Bruck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2010
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
46%
25%
30%
34 36 2 0
16 May. 2010
UNT
Unterhaching II
1 - 2
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
53%
23%
24%
34 35 1 0
12 May. 2010
BAY
Bayern Hof
4 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
37%
25%
39%
36 27 9 -2
07 May. 2010
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
8 - 0
Memmelsdorf
MEM
70%
18%
12%
35 21 14 +1
30 Apr. 2010
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 2
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
34%
25%
42%
35 26 9 0