Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 6-2
1860 München vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
MUN
0 - 1
MSV
68%
19%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1967 |
SER
2 - 2
MUN
31%
23%
45%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
FCN
1 - 1
MUN
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
MUN
0 - 3
KAI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
BRE
2 - 2
MUN
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1967 |
SER
2 - 2
MUN
31%
23%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
SSO
3 - 0
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
SER
1 - 0
SSO
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 0
SER
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
SER
2 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |